50周鸡蛋行情：节日效应、欲出谷底

崔若伟 · 发表于 2008-12-19 23:49:19

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本周国内<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=鸡蛋" target=_blank>鸡蛋</A>主产区<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=鸡蛋" target=_blank>鸡蛋</A>收购<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=价格" target=_blank>价格</A>表   元/斤
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日期<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P></TD>
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辽宁<O:P></O:P></TD>
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河北<O:P></O:P></TD>
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山东<O:P></O:P></TD>
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河南<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = ST1 /><ST1:CHSDATE w:st="on" year="2008" month="12" day="08" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False">12月08日</ST1:CHSDATE><O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.6<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.66<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.85<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.75<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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<ST1:CHSDATE w:st="on" year="2008" month="12" day="12" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False">12月12日</ST1:CHSDATE><O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.6<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.79<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.85<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.77<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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环比（%）<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0<O:P></O:P></TD>
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4.89<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0.73<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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同比（%）<O:P></O:P></TD>
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7.49<O:P></O:P></TD>
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5<O:P></O:P></TD>
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10.27<O:P></O:P></TD>
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3.61<O:P></O:P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 120%; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; mso-para-margin-top: 0cm; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">图表可知：<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周（12.08-12.12），全国大部分<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=鸡蛋" target=_blank>鸡蛋</A>主产区<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=价格" target=_blank>价格</A>趋涨。<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=鸡蛋" target=_blank>鸡蛋</A>均价为2.75元/斤，同比上调6.57%，其中，山东地区<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=鸡蛋" target=_blank>鸡蛋</A><A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=价格" target=_blank>价格</A>较上周上涨较大，上涨幅度为10.27%，辽宁、河北、河南涨幅较缓，分别为7.49、5、3.61%。 <O:P></O:P>
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">博亚和讯蛋价指数：
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">
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  <SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">由上图可以看出：本周蛋价指数为101.94<SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">，较上周五上涨5.1<SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">个指数，蛋价有回暖趋势，与上周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=预测" target=_blank>预测</A>基本一致。未来一周蛋价将继续回调，有望趋稳。<O:P></O:P>
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">博亚和讯分析：<O:P></O:P>
<P style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 120%; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; mso-para-margin-top: 0cm; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=价格" target=_blank>价格</A>变化原因分析如下：<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周整体需求回暖，随节日临近，蛋价继续回升。对于供给来讲，因天气转寒，鸡病偏多，蛋鸡产蛋量回落，对市场供给有所影响，但前期库存蛋偏多，对市场还有一定的压力。<O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">目前，部分省份陆续出台一系列政策，对规模化养鸡场进行补贴，未来对蛋鸡市场来说，唯有走规模化、低成本路线，同时，国家取消<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=价格" target=_blank>价格</A>限制，蛋价实现市场化。 <O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">近期，蛋价依旧低位运行，均价为2.75元/羽，较上月2.79元/羽来说，蛋价基本恢复，呈上涨态势。近期养殖利润逐步回暖（如下图）。
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"> 
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<TD><A href="http://new.boyar.cn/class/manage/upload_file/2008/12/19/3e5a3a43a17fb2195f9cd1d124471541.gif" target=_blank><IMG style="WIDTH: 474px; HEIGHT: 220px" height=183 alt="" src="http://new.boyar.cn/class/manage/upload_file/2008/12/19/3e5a3a43a17fb2195f9cd1d124471541.gif" width=400 border=0></A></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">下周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=预测" target=_blank>预测</A>（51周12.15-12.19）：<O:P></O:P>
本周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=行情" target=_blank>行情</A>与上周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=预测" target=_blank>预测</A>基本一致。受上述因素影响，下周蛋价低位调整，受节日影响蛋价逐步回暖，均价2.7-3.0元/斤徘徊。建议养殖户近期调整出货量，化解风险。

50周鸡蛋行情：节日效应、欲出谷底

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